Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.139314 0.154607 0.170244 0.187388 0.205616 0.224381 0.245118
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.120282 0.141688 0.164385 0.190104 0.218306 0.248160 0.282027
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.105852 0.131475 0.159513 0.192181 0.228913 0.268670 0.314689
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.093564 0.122140 0.154333 0.192786 0.236980 0.285726 0.343105
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.083945 0.114808 0.150524 0.194146 0.245249 0.302536 0.370931
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.074766 0.107094 0.145499 0.193412 0.250552 0.315563 0.394175
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.069211 0.103262 0.144646 0.197212 0.260839 0.334114 0.423637
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.063211 0.098328 0.141999 0.198464 0.267803 0.348588 0.448252
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057646 0.093483 0.139069 0.199028 0.273669 0.361577 0.471012
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052137 0.088266 0.135291 0.198208 0.277585 0.372057 0.490682
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047945 0.084513 0.133135 0.199201 0.283553 0.384880 0.513074
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046192 0.084040 0.135199 0.205536 0.296148 0.405748 0.545181
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041960 0.079895 0.132386 0.205749 0.301434 0.418259 0.568005
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038583 0.076753 0.130752 0.207380 0.308458 0.432918 0.593529
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035479 0.073770 0.129148 0.208911 0.315273 0.447302 0.618768
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032286 0.070373 0.126748 0.209198 0.320363 0.459478 0.641299
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029655 0.067653 0.125148 0.210445 0.326620 0.473084 0.665613
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026699 0.064122 0.122146 0.209573 0.329953 0.482913 0.685203
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025211 0.062976 0.122619 0.213522 0.339688 0.500916 0.715070
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023207 0.060736 0.121293 0.214814 0.345790 0.514241 0.739085
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021210 0.058317 0.119548 0.215392 0.350853 0.526195 0.761380
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019078 0.055426 0.116897 0.214521 0.353842 0.535406 0.780180
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017506 0.053462 0.115609 0.215563 0.359405 0.547950 0.803239